In a standard 5-card poker hand for 1 deck:

Calculate P(Choose Your Hand)

Choose Your Hand Hands

Calculate the probability of drawing a TARGETHEARTRATEAGE50

Calculate Total 5 Card hands

Choose 5 cards from 52 cards

Total Hands  =  52!
  (52-5)! * 5!

Total Hands  =  52!
  47! * 5!

Total Hands  =  (52 * 51 * 50 * 49 * 48) * 47!
  47! * (5 * 4 * 3 * 2 * 1)

Cancelling the 47!, we get:

Total Hands  =  311,875,200
  120

Total Hands = 2,598,960

Build Probability

Calculate the probabilty of each card

Calculate the probability of drawing Ace

Ace

There are 4 A cards in the deck

There are 52 total cards in the deck

Probability of drawing A  =  4
  52

Calculate the probabilty of each card

Calculate the probability of drawing Ace

Ace

There are 3 A cards in the deck

There are 51 total cards in the deck

Probability of drawing A  =  3
  51

Calculate the probabilty of each card

Calculate the probability of drawing Ace

Ace

There are 2 A cards in the deck

There are 50 total cards in the deck

Probability of drawing A  =  2
  50

Calculate the probabilty of each card

Calculate the probability of drawing Ace

Ace

There are 1 A cards in the deck

There are 49 total cards in the deck

Probability of drawing A  =  1
  49

Calculate the probabilty of each card

Calculate the probability of drawing 5

5

There are 4 5 cards in the deck

There are 48 total cards in the deck

Probability of drawing 5  =  4
  48

Calculate final probability:

Since each card draw is independent

Multiply each of our 5 card draws

P(TARGETHEARTRATEAGE50)  =  4 x 3 x 2 x 1 x 4
  52 x 51 x 50 x 49 x 48

P(TARGETHEARTRATEAGE50)  =  96
  311875200

Reduce top and bottom by 96

GCF = Greatest Common Factor

P(Choose Your Hand)  =  96
  311,875,200

GCF for 1 and 3248700 = 96

P(Choose Your Hand)  =  1
  3,248,700

Final Answer


Decimal probability = 3.078E-7